And it’s not just the number of overcast days that is a problem. Bellingham is very far north—enough so you get significant swings in day length between summer and winter—that is great in the summer, it is still broad daylight out at 11pm at night—but winter days are really short. Sunset is around 4:30, or earlier, from mid-Nov to mid-Jan. The sun has gone down before you get off work. Here is a link to sunrise-sunset data for Bellingham https://sunrise-sunset.org/us/bellingham-wa/2020/10.
dlr
So we should expect Dunning-Kruger to not replicate if the subjects were offered a nontrivial reward for how well they predicted their test scores.
no, they are all still missing.
why assume that the “master” is a unified module?
″...join some activity where you see the same people at least once a week”
This is really excellent advice. Another way of adding a lot of happiness to your life, that works for a lot of people is to change the ratio of fats and carbs in your diet—keep the total number of calories the same, just up the amount of fats, a lot, and decrease the amount of carbs, a lot. Maybe up the amount of protein some too, cutting back on the carbs for that too. There’s a lot of web sites all over for keto diets, low carb diets, that will give you pointers. If you’re like me, after a few days your mood will brighten a lot, and you’ll start experiencing random surges of sheer happiness besides. Very possibly lose weight too. But, $$$ compared to regular diet, so, pros and cons.
MY objection would have been, ‘But Martin Luther King was a communist!’
2. The lottery is a waste of hope. [I’d say that statement reduces to: the odds of winning the lottery are lower than the odds of the average person getting millions dollars by some (any) other process. Is there any other concrete action that the average human can perform; ie, any other concrete scenario that the average human can focus on, and feel hope about actually occurring, that is more likely than winning the lottery after buying a lottery ticket? Maybe starting their own company? The odds of getting rich doing that are small too, though no doubt much larger than the odds of getting rich winning the lottery. But the effort required is much larger too.
But the statement codes for ‘hope’ not increasing actual average wealth.
So, I’d have to say the average lottery ticket buyer is perhaps not irrational if he is buying hope. (ie, if what he wants to buy is hope, something to get him through the depression of knowing he’s never going to be able to quit his shit job, or live in a great house, or do all the fun stuff that rich people do, or have lots of girls chasing him cause he’s rich…
On that basis, I’d say the statement is demonstrably untrue… hope is a valuable commodity, since it makes you feel good, even if it doesn’t pan out, and thus, perhaps very much worth buying.The statement says that the lottery is a waste of hope. I say that hope is very often not a waste even if what you are hoping for never pans out. ]
Two things to be cautious about re Bellingham:
the % ‘overcast’ incidence is much higher than the % ‘measurable precipitation’ incidence. I lived in the area until I was about 30 and the number of days when I literally never saw the sun, or a scrap of blue sky was very high, especially during the winter. People with any tendency towards Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) should avoid Bellingham, indeed, the entire Pacific Northwest.
Winters seem colder there than you would expect from the actual temperature. Just like high humidity makes heat seem hotter, high humidity makes cold seem colder. I’ve never heard anybody make the comment ‘yes, but it is a dry cold..’, but it does make a very noticeable difference.