Karma: 67

Experienced quant trader, effective altruism enthusiast, currently a volunteer at Rethink Priorities, mostly focused on forecasting research.

More active on the EA Forum https://​​​​users/​​charles_dillon

Data on fore­cast­ing ac­cu­racy across differ­ent time hori­zons and lev­els of fore­caster experience

CharlesD27 May 2021 18:53 UTC
25 points
0 comments23 min readLW link

An ex­am­i­na­tion of Me­tac­u­lus’ re­solved AI pre­dic­tions and their im­pli­ca­tions for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC
26 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] What could small scale dis­asters from AI look like?

CharlesD31 Aug 2021 15:52 UTC
10 points
8 comments1 min readLW link