Karma: 73

Experienced quant trader, based in Dublin. Formerly a volunteer at Rethink Priorities, where I did some forecasting research. Interested in longtermism and meta causes. More active on the EA Forum https://​​​​users/​​charles_dillon

An ex­am­i­na­tion of Me­tac­u­lus’ re­solved AI pre­dic­tions and their im­pli­ca­tions for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC
26 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Data on fore­cast­ing ac­cu­racy across differ­ent time hori­zons and lev­els of fore­caster experience

CharlesD27 May 2021 18:53 UTC
25 points
0 comments23 min readLW link

[Question] What could small scale dis­asters from AI look like?

CharlesD31 Aug 2021 15:52 UTC
14 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

How does fore­cast quan­tity im­pact fore­cast qual­ity on Me­tac­u­lus?

CharlesD1 Oct 2021 19:09 UTC
4 points
0 comments9 min readLW link