Huh, I scrolled past this and read Nisan’s post first, by the time I got any further this was already running through my head.
Not so sure that this is a good rationalist quote though.
Huh, I scrolled past this and read Nisan’s post first, by the time I got any further this was already running through my head.
Not so sure that this is a good rationalist quote though.
Huh, I scrolled past this and read Nisan’s post first, by the time I got any further this was already running through my head.
Not so sure that this is a good rationalist quote though.
Huh, I scrolled past this and read Nisan’s post first, by the time I got any further this was already running through my head.
Not so sure that this is a good rationalist quote though.
From the few minutes I’ve seen of it it looks amazing. If anyone wishes to play it here’s A link
I’d love to participate in such a study, I’ve noticed my moods go all over the place and would like to see how such a survey would work.
Before they publish anything (other than a article on Coca-Cola not being related to stomach cancer) they should first use a different test group in order to determine that the first result wasn’t a sampling fluke or otherwise biased, (Perhaps sneezing wasn’t causing large ears after all, or large ears were correlated to something that also caused sneezing.)
What brought the probability to your attention in the first place shouldn’t be what proves it.
If A then B is a separate experiment than If C then D and should require separate additional proof.
Okay, that makes tons more sense, I apparently wasn’t thinking too clearly when I wrote the first post. (plus I didn’t know about the standard tests)
Thanks for setting me straight.
Putting this in a slightly more coherent way. (I was having some trouble understanding the explanation, so I broke it down into layman’s terms, might make it more easily understandable)
If I assign P(0) to “Green is either” Then I assign P(1) to the statement “Green is not either”
If you assign absolute certainty to any one statement you are, by definition assigning absolute impossibility to all other possibilities.
Putting this in a slightly more coherent way. (I was having some trouble understanding the explanation, so I broke it down into layman’s terms, might make it more easily understandable)
If I assign P(0) to “Green is either” Then I assign P(1) to the statement “Green is not either”
If you assign absolute certainty to any one statement you are, by definition assigning absolute impossibility to all other possibilities.
a
Right, response to the meditation:
It gets rather difficult talking about human mental constructs, let’s begin by asking myself where would I find justice/mercy; almost immediately (which means that I need to do some more thinking) I find that I think of human emotional constructs as a side effect of society and it’s group mindset,
You think so? Then take the universe and grind it down to the finest powder and sieve it through the finest sieve and then show me one atom of justice, one molecule of mercy.
Susan and Death, in Hogfather by Terry Pratchett
I would find that by grinding down the universe to it’s component molecules would completely fail to find any number of things that humanity finds important; Humanity for one, to me rationalism is, above all the study of the universe and what it contains. And yet when it comes to most psychological phenomenon the models start to break down, does this mean that a more refined model would be equally unable to describe the phenomenon, not necessarily. Because as rationalists one of our key teachings is that we can observe something by studying it’s causes and effects; justice and mercy exists insofar as we as humans can comprehend their nature. They exist because we can determine the differences between a universe where they exist and the ones where they don’t exist.
-reposted in the right section
Survey: Completed, no problems. Dithered quite a bit when asked what my position was on the true Prisoners dilemma. And I keep consistently overshooting the estimation dates by 100 years (almost precisely, on the previous survey I overshot by 105 years, this time overshot by 120ish). I’ve started getting more involved in the community over the past 3 months.
I am Alexander Baruta, High-school student currently in the 11th grade (grade 12 math and biology). I originally found the site through Eliezer’s blog, I am (technically) part of the school’s robotics team (someone has to stop them from creating unworkable plans), undergoing Microsoft It certification, and going through all of the psychology courses in as little time as possible (Currently enrolled in a self-directed learning school) so I can get to the stuff I don’t already know. My mind is fact oriented, (I can remember the weirdest things with perfect clarity after only hearing them once) but I have trouble combining that recall with my English classes, and I have trouble remembering names. I am informally studying formal logic, programming, game theory, and probability theory (don’t you hate it when the curriculum changes. (I also have a unusual fondness for brackets, if you couldn’t tell by now)
I am Alexander Baruta, High-school student currently in the 11th grade (grade 12 math and biology). I originally found the site through Eliezer’s blog, I am (technically) part of the school’s robotics team (someone has to stop them from creating unworkable plans), undergoing Microsoft It certification, and going through all of the psychology courses in as little time as possible (Currently enrolled in a self-directed learning school) so I can get to the stuff I don’t already know. My mind is fact oriented, (I can remember the weirdest things with perfect clarity after only hearing them once) but I have trouble combining that recall with my English classes, and I have trouble remembering names. I am informally studying formal logic, programming, game theory, and probability theory (don’t you hate it when the curriculum changes. (I also have a unusual fondness for brackets, if you couldn’t tell by now)
I also feel that any discussion about me that fails to mention my love of Sf/Fantasy should be shot dead, I caught onto reading at a very, very early age and by the time I was in 5th grade I was reading at a 12th grade comprehension level, and I was tackling Asimov, Niven, Pohl, Piers Anthony, Stephen R. Donaldson, Roger Zelazny and most good authors.
Sorry about that, the internet connection I am using occasionally does this sort of thing.
I was laughing so hard when I saw this.
Just took the IQ test for fun, wasn’t even trying hard for half of it, still got a 102
Quite okay actually, not sure who decided that the entire IQ test be made up of progressive reasoning tests, at least ask some other problem solving questions
He’s a decent author but I am having trouble finding anything of significance by him in Calgary
This idea is absolutely brilliant, especially #2 on the list, personally I need to ensure that I actually start consciously making the connection between owning things and having them around to use.