Well, as I put it, it’s very similar to the horsecarts to automobiles analogy… we are the horses.
Arko Sen
Karma: 5
Just remind every economist with the car and horse analogy—we’re not the humans in the story, we’re the horses.
Well curated! This reminded me of “make doing good easier than doing bad” bit about corruption.
In a cosmic scope, everything is almost never oneshot in its nature—in the narrowing scope of a thing in question, it’s almost always oneshot (our daily lives being somewhere in the middle of these macro and micro scales) - and the severity of the scope is a wobbly line drawn somewhere in its spectrum of worst case scenarios arranged by diminishing probability. For ASI, even the most lenient line is at an astoundingly high level of probability. It’s only not oneshot in the fact that a future non-human civilization can try again after learning from our outcomes.
Personally, I blindly and desperately hope that the first ASI that we engineer considers humanity as part of its self, which I do recognize is hoping for the first launched solar sail to open and catch a solar flare with perfect timing...