AndrewS

• AndrewS 1 Jun 2023 16:33 UTC

  1 point

  on: 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

  When you work in log odds, the distance between any two degrees of uncertainty equals the amount of evidence you would need to go from one to the other.

  What does “amount of evidence” in this sentence is supposed to mean? Is it the same idea that “bits of evidence” mentioned in these posts previously?

  The only way I can interpret this sentence as a definition of “amount of evidence”, but then I don’t understand what’s the point of highlighting the sentence as if it’s saying something more significant.

• AndrewS 31 May 2023 22:33 UTC

  −4 points

  −4

  in reply to: AndrewS’s comment on: The Sim­ple Truth

  Never mind, posted the comment before reading the whole thing.

  I don’t understand the point of this post other than to make fun of some beliefs without mentioning them; I’m pretty sure that I haven’t got all the references and ones that I’ve got (e.g. about panpsychism) aren’t as widely understood as the potential audience for a text on rationality.

  Reading this feels like a waste of time to me. I suggest removing this one from sequences; I’m pretty sure that there are better ways to achieve the stated goal of this text.

• AndrewS 31 May 2023 21:57 UTC

  0 points

  0

  on: The Sim­ple Truth

  Around a tenth of the times I turn in early, I find a dead sheep the next morning.

  I don’t know if that’s nitpicking, but the fact that protagonist of the story talks about a fraction of the times before even being able to count sheep is mildly amusing

• AndrewS 31 May 2023 8:37 UTC

  1 point

  on: Mak­ing His­tory Available

  I should try to think as if everything I read about in history books had actually happened to me.

  It looks to me that this requires to consciously force yourself to believe the historical events to have happened in the exact way the material you’re reading describes them; which is basically leaning into a fallacy “comprehending an argument tends to make people believe it” as described in an experiment in this post

• AndrewS 30 May 2023 11:04 UTC

  1 point

  on: Fo­cus Your Uncertainty

  You wouldn’t want to inappropriately transfer thinking skills from one context to another.

  The link in this sentence is broken

• AndrewS 28 May 2023 10:40 UTC

  9 points

  on: Preface

  Today the Center for Applied Rationality is working on repairing this huge mistake of mine in a more systematic fashion.

  Given that the post was written 8 years ago, was “this huge mistake” repaired?