note that the Brier score at the bottom is a few percentage points lower than what’s shown in the chart; the probability distributions GPT outputs differ a bit between runs despite a temperature of 0
It’s now possible to get mostly deterministic outputs if you set the seed parameter to an integer of your choice, the other parameters are identical, and the model hasn’t been updated.
This article from the Wall Street Journal (linked in TFA) says developing human-level AI could cost trillions of dollars to build, which I believe is reasonable (and it could even be a good deal), not that Mr. Altman expects to raise trillions of dollars on short order.
Sure!
Sam Altman was already trying to lead the development of human-level artificial intelligence. Now he has another great ambition: raising trillions of dollars to reshape the global semiconductor industry.
The OpenAI chief executive officer is in talks with investors including the United Arab Emirates government to raise funds for a wildly ambitious tech initiative that would boost the world’s chip-building capacity, expand its ability to power AI, among other things, and cost several trillion dollars, according to people familiar with the matter. The project could require raising as much as $5 trillion to $7 trillion, one of the people said.
There is no penalty for asking. You can apply to the same thing 10 times and no one’s gonna get mad at you. You can advertise something on the Internet and even if 99% of people think it’s dumb, 1% might think it’s really cool. You are always doing things for the one person who will give you the yes. And often one yes is enough. I’ve been trying to reframe my relationship with rejection from avoiding it to literally looking for rejection—going out there and risking the NOs. I’ve been doing it in really silly ways, like trying to buy an staff-only hoodie at my favorite grocery store and walking into restaurants when there are no reservations available, but also in meaningful ways like proposing writing collaborations and meeting new people. It’s so fun! I can’t believe I’ve been running away from it for so long.
This reminded me of Anonymous[1]’ post on how to become more agentic.
The replies to the accompanying tweet also have some fun examples of people asking for stuff—and getting it.
I know who wrote it because I’ve read the post before, but I want to respect their privacy.
Inspired by Concentration of Force, which introduced me to the concept, I’m trying to create a TAP to answer the question “what specific task do I need to accomplish?” before I unlock my phone. If I can’t answer the question, maybe that “mental speed bump” makes it easier to put my phone back down.
I was really surprised to see a post like this on here. I read Eneasz’s original post to get more context, and I encourage others to do so as well (even if it’s a difficult read). I think your post offers a valuable and more hopeful perspective.
OpenAI is thinking about how to safely and responsibly allow its models to produce NSFW content that goes beyond answering sex-ed “birds and the bees” type questions.
I haven’t read the whole thing yet, but I’m glad they released this document (which deals with many thorny questions besides).
https://cdn.openai.com/spec/model-spec-2024-05-08.html#overview
Some thoughts about the intro video: it’s excellent but ends a little abruptly; it would be good to explain how AISafety.com plans to help. Also, I quite dislike flashing images (around the 45-second mark).