SHUT UP AND MULTIPLY

Zach Stein-Perlman
23 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC

You must wager. It is not optional.

I do prioritization research for AI safety philanthropy. Currently I focus on large-scale philanthropic opportunities like buying lots of compute during an intelligence explosion; previously I focused on AI safety in US politics. This sequence is mostly abstract stuff on prioritization and philanthropy/​grantmaking, with some object-level prioritization takes.

Some things I no­ticed while LARPing as a grantmaker

Zach Stein-Perlman23 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
163 points
11 comments7 min readLW link

My cost-effec­tive­ness unit

Zach Stein-Perlman24 Mar 2026 15:30 UTC
65 points
5 comments4 min readLW link

How to do cost-effec­tive­ness anal­y­sis for elections

Zach Stein-Perlman25 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
28 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

You can just mul­ti­ply point es­ti­mates (if you only care about EV)

Zach Stein-Perlman26 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
29 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Stop ask­ing “how good is this” to de­cide be­tween dona­tion op­por­tu­ni­ties I recommend

Zach Stein-Perlman27 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
35 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Nick Bostrom: How big is the cos­mic en­dow­ment?

Zach Stein-Perlman28 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC
74 points
18 comments3 min readLW link
(amazon.com)

Con­sid­er­a­tions for grow­ing the pie

Zach Stein-Perlman4 Apr 2026 15:30 UTC
37 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Con­sid­er­a­tions against s-pro­cess philanthropy

Zach Stein-Perlman2 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC
20 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

SFF is very suboptimal

Zach Stein-Perlman6 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC
118 points
10 comments5 min readLW link

Cur­rent views on large-scale longter­mist philanthropy

Zach Stein-Perlman6 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC
36 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Most An­thropic equity that will ever be used for longter­mist philan­thropy should be sold ASAP and reinvested

Zach Stein-Perlman7 Sep 2026 15:30 UTC
48 points
8 comments2 min readLW link