Counterfactuals and Updatelessness

Which problems arise when mixing decision theory and game theory with realistic learning?

These are related thoughts and framings painting my big picture understanding of the situation. This picture of what computational counterfactuals really are has consequences for causal and acausal strategic coordination.

Up­date­less­ness doesn’t solve most problems

The lat­tice of par­tial updatelessness

Ev­i­den­tial Cor­re­la­tions are Sub­jec­tive, and it might be a problem

How dis­agree­ments about Ev­i­den­tial Cor­re­la­tions could be settled