Trends in Machine Learning

In the last few decades the field of Machine Learning has seen rapid advances. More is to come in the next few decades. Understanding better what has happened and might happen will lead us to better AI governance and prioritization of AI risk.

This sequence is a compilation of publication from Epoch. We are researching trends in the inputs and performance of Machine Learning systems.

Our core research program centers around trends in parameters, compute and data. This is motivated from previous work on ML scaling, showing regular improvements in capabilities associated with these three factors.

We are mantaining a public dataset of parameters, compute and data of milestone ML models. An interactive visualization is also available. We encourage other researchers to build on top of our work.

Com­pute Trends Across Three eras of Ma­chine Learning

Pa­ram­e­ter counts in Ma­chine Learning

Es­ti­mat­ing train­ing com­pute of Deep Learn­ing models

What’s the back­ward-for­ward FLOP ra­tio for Neu­ral Net­works?

How to mea­sure FLOP/​s for Neu­ral Net­works em­piri­cally?

Pro­ject­ing com­pute trends in Ma­chine Learning

Com­pute Trends — Com­par­i­son to OpenAI’s AI and Compute