A Tour of AI Timelines

This is an overview of the AI Timelines landscape that aims to make previous timelines research more accessible, and to also introduce new ideas/​framings.

Some questions that we’ll be diving into include:

My current plan is to put out the rest of the sequence slowly, probably between September and December 2022.

Grokking “Fore­cast­ing TAI with biolog­i­cal an­chors”

Grokking “Semi-in­for­ma­tive pri­ors over AI timelines”