I’m at like 40% doom, then conditional on doom like 50⁄50 on nearly all (>99%) humans killed within a year (I’m talking about information death here, freezing brains and reviving later doesn’t count as death; if not revived ever, then it’s death), then conditioned on nearly all humans killed I’m at maybe 75% on literally all humans killed within a year.
So, overall I’m at 15% on literally all humans dead?
Numbers aren’t in reflective equilibrium.
I find the arguments for the AI killing nearly everyone not that compelling.
I’m at like 40% doom, then conditional on doom like 50⁄50 on nearly all (>99%) humans killed within a year (I’m talking about information death here, freezing brains and reviving later doesn’t count as death; if not revived ever, then it’s death), then conditioned on nearly all humans killed I’m at maybe 75% on literally all humans killed within a year.
So, overall I’m at 15% on literally all humans dead?
Numbers aren’t in reflective equilibrium. I find the arguments for the AI killing nearly everyone not that compelling.