I’ve asked https://www.lesswrong.com/users/connor_flexman, a person who has previously estimated the number of expected days of life lost from covid (see for example https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GzzJZmqxcqg5KFf8r/covid-and-the-holidays), how to update his estimates for the assumption that 100% of covid is omicron. On december 27, he told me that covid means 10 expected weeks of life lost for an average 30 to 50 y.o. person. And that to update https://microcovid.org estimates, you should multiply by 3.5 because omicron is more infectious and divide by 3 if you’ve had a booster.
I’ve asked https://www.lesswrong.com/users/connor_flexman, a person who has previously estimated the number of expected days of life lost from covid (see for example https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GzzJZmqxcqg5KFf8r/covid-and-the-holidays), how to update his estimates for the assumption that 100% of covid is omicron. On december 27, he told me that covid means 10 expected weeks of life lost for an average 30 to 50 y.o. person. And that to update https://microcovid.org estimates, you should multiply by 3.5 because omicron is more infectious and divide by 3 if you’ve had a booster.