I don’t like the intro to the post. I feel like the example Scott gives makes the opposite of the point he wants it to make. Either a number with the given property exists or not. If such a number doesn’t exist, creating a superintelligence won’t change that fact. Given talk I’ve heard around the near certainty of AI doom, betting the human race on the nonexistence of a number like this looks pretty attractive by comparison—and it’s plausible there are AI alignment bets we could make that are analogous to this bet.
I don’t like the intro to the post. I feel like the example Scott gives makes the opposite of the point he wants it to make. Either a number with the given property exists or not. If such a number doesn’t exist, creating a superintelligence won’t change that fact. Given talk I’ve heard around the near certainty of AI doom, betting the human race on the nonexistence of a number like this looks pretty attractive by comparison—and it’s plausible there are AI alignment bets we could make that are analogous to this bet.