This is actually a good use case, which fits with what gpt does well, where very cheap tokens help!
Pending some time for people to pick at it to test it’s limits, this might be really good. My instinct is legal research, case law etc. will be the test of how good it is, if it does well this might be it’s foothold into real commercial use that actually generates profit.
My prediction is that we will be glad this exists. It will not be “phd level”, a phrase which defaces all who utter it, but it will save some people a lot of time and effort
Where I think we disagree:
This will likely not elicit a Jevon’s-paradox scenario where we will collectively spend much more money on LLM tokens despite their decreased cost, Killer app this is not.
My prediction is that low level users will use this infrequently because Google (or vanilla chatGPT) is sufficient, what they are looking for is not a report but a webpage and one likely at the top of their search already. Even if it would save them time, they will never use it so often that their first instinct would be deep research and not Google, they will not recognize where deep research would be better and won’t change their habits even if they do. On the far end, some grad students will use this to get them started but it will not do the work of actually doing the research. Besides pay walls disrupting things and limits to important physical media, there is a high likelihood that this won’t replace any of the actual research grad students (or lawyers/paralegals etc) will have to do. The number of hours they spend won’t be much effected, the range of users who will find much value will be few and they probably won’t use it every day.
I expect that, by token usage, deep research will not be a big part of what people use chatGPT for. If I’m wrong I predict it’s because law professions found a use for it.
I will see everyone in 1 year (if we’re alive) to see if this pans out!
OpenAI’s Deep Research is looking like something that could be big and they were standing on the sidelines in part because the tokens weren’t cheap.
This is actually a good use case, which fits with what gpt does well, where very cheap tokens help!
Pending some time for people to pick at it to test it’s limits, this might be really good. My instinct is legal research, case law etc. will be the test of how good it is, if it does well this might be it’s foothold into real commercial use that actually generates profit.
My prediction is that we will be glad this exists. It will not be “phd level”, a phrase which defaces all who utter it, but it will save some people a lot of time and effort
Where I think we disagree: This will likely not elicit a Jevon’s-paradox scenario where we will collectively spend much more money on LLM tokens despite their decreased cost, Killer app this is not.
My prediction is that low level users will use this infrequently because Google (or vanilla chatGPT) is sufficient, what they are looking for is not a report but a webpage and one likely at the top of their search already. Even if it would save them time, they will never use it so often that their first instinct would be deep research and not Google, they will not recognize where deep research would be better and won’t change their habits even if they do. On the far end, some grad students will use this to get them started but it will not do the work of actually doing the research. Besides pay walls disrupting things and limits to important physical media, there is a high likelihood that this won’t replace any of the actual research grad students (or lawyers/paralegals etc) will have to do. The number of hours they spend won’t be much effected, the range of users who will find much value will be few and they probably won’t use it every day.
I expect that, by token usage, deep research will not be a big part of what people use chatGPT for. If I’m wrong I predict it’s because law professions found a use for it.
I will see everyone in 1 year (if we’re alive) to see if this pans out!