My instinct is that, the lotteries odds were not truly random or close to truly random. Or the odds for the specific lotteries were a lot better than assumed. Or in other words, the prior for the lotteries being fair is low.
My instinct is that, the lotteries odds were not truly random or close to truly random. Or the odds for the specific lotteries were a lot better than assumed.
Or in other words, the prior for the lotteries being fair is low.