Hmm, I think I misphrased my OP, I agree that a lot of what we write about wouldn’t produce those sorts of immediate changes. I meant more that this is a rather profitable business model that I expect some of us to be very well-suited to, which also happens to work towards one of the core goals of our community. I also separately expect that we spend far less time than we should finding ways to bet on the seemingly ambiguous things, but I also don’t think that working out is necessary for a profitable LW investigative journal. It seems plausible that the people with the necessary skillsets are currently busy with more valuable things, but I’m a little suspicious of that argument because of the aforementioned lack of funding.
Why would lesswrong control this, though? I think it would look more like some lesswrong users being part of an investing firm, and donating some of their winnings to lightcone, which is possibly already happening
Hmm, I think I misphrased my OP, I agree that a lot of what we write about wouldn’t produce those sorts of immediate changes. I meant more that this is a rather profitable business model that I expect some of us to be very well-suited to, which also happens to work towards one of the core goals of our community. I also separately expect that we spend far less time than we should finding ways to bet on the seemingly ambiguous things, but I also don’t think that working out is necessary for a profitable LW investigative journal. It seems plausible that the people with the necessary skillsets are currently busy with more valuable things, but I’m a little suspicious of that argument because of the aforementioned lack of funding.
Why would lesswrong control this, though? I think it would look more like some lesswrong users being part of an investing firm, and donating some of their winnings to lightcone, which is possibly already happening