IMO, a lot of basic cruxes for differing views on the impact of AI in the 21st century ultimately depend on the question “Can AI be a substitute for the majority of economically relevant tasks a human does, and then become a substitute for any new industry?”
If the answer is yes, a lot of the more radical worldviews become on the table. If the answer is no, then I’d probably agree with a lot of the more moderate views on AI impacts.
Indeed, I’d argue AI as substitute for basically all human tasks that are relevant to the economy should replace the AGI notion often flown around, since it’s more clear and provides less opportunities for motte and balieys and other bad arguments often thrown around.
IMO, a lot of basic cruxes for differing views on the impact of AI in the 21st century ultimately depend on the question “Can AI be a substitute for the majority of economically relevant tasks a human does, and then become a substitute for any new industry?”
If the answer is yes, a lot of the more radical worldviews become on the table. If the answer is no, then I’d probably agree with a lot of the more moderate views on AI impacts.
Indeed, I’d argue AI as substitute for basically all human tasks that are relevant to the economy should replace the AGI notion often flown around, since it’s more clear and provides less opportunities for motte and balieys and other bad arguments often thrown around.