Trillions in revenue is more plausible if continual learning is somewhat working soon and gradually getting better, rather than mostly absent until it’s unlocked in 2033. With gradual improvement in continual learning, AGI timelines might get more like gradual disempowerment timelines, no clear thresholds until it’s suddenly already been too late for a while.
Trillions in revenue is more plausible if continual learning is somewhat working soon and gradually getting better, rather than mostly absent until it’s unlocked in 2033. With gradual improvement in continual learning, AGI timelines might get more like gradual disempowerment timelines, no clear thresholds until it’s suddenly already been too late for a while.