This is a fascinating article that I found interesting. But it is not something I’ll likely be a part of, ever, and neither is most of the community (judging by the “profession” question of the 2024 census—Medicine (being the closest field) with 7 people—this article isn’t particularly useful. Judging by the 2023 census, with 20 people across Biology and Medicine, this article is more useful but still doesn’t quite compare).
And since most of the community doesn’t seem to deal or be part of this field, and since it talks about an uncertain threat far in the future, I wouldn’t add it to the 2024 Review.
On the other hand, it is good rationality practice with somewhat of a guide (the section discussing pessimism/optimism/realism), which does fit the article in with much of the Lesswrong literature.
This is a fascinating article that I found interesting. But it is not something I’ll likely be a part of, ever, and neither is most of the community (judging by the “profession” question of the 2024 census—Medicine (being the closest field) with 7 people—this article isn’t particularly useful. Judging by the 2023 census, with 20 people across Biology and Medicine, this article is more useful but still doesn’t quite compare).
And since most of the community doesn’t seem to deal or be part of this field, and since it talks about an uncertain threat far in the future, I wouldn’t add it to the 2024 Review.
On the other hand, it is good rationality practice with somewhat of a guide (the section discussing pessimism/optimism/realism), which does fit the article in with much of the Lesswrong literature.