The probability of going wrong increases as the novelty of the situation increases. As the chess game is played, the probability that the game is completely novel or literally never played before increases. Even more so at the amateur level. If a Grandmaster played GPT3/4, it’s going to go for much longer without going off the rails, simply because the first 20 something moves are likely played many times before and have been directly trained on.
Right, though 20 moves until a new game is very rare afaik (assuming the regular way of counting, where 1 move means one from both sides). But 15 is commonplace. According to chess.com (which I think only includes top games, though not sure) this one was new up from move 6 by white.
The probability of going wrong increases as the novelty of the situation increases. As the chess game is played, the probability that the game is completely novel or literally never played before increases. Even more so at the amateur level. If a Grandmaster played GPT3/4, it’s going to go for much longer without going off the rails, simply because the first 20 something moves are likely played many times before and have been directly trained on.
Right, though 20 moves until a new game is very rare afaik (assuming the regular way of counting, where 1 move means one from both sides). But 15 is commonplace. According to chess.com (which I think only includes top games, though not sure) this one was new up from move 6 by white.