I agree that the average reader is probably smarter in a general sense, but they also have FAR more things competing for their attention. Thus the amount of intelligence available for reading and understanding any given sentence, specifically, may be lower in the modern environment.
Interesting point. I’m not sure increased reader intelligence and greater competition for attention are fully countervailing forces—it seems true in some contexts (scrolling social media), but in others (in particular books) I expect that readers are still devoting substantial chunks of attention to reading.
That’s possible, but what does the population distribution of [how much of their time people spend reading books] look like? I bet it hasn’t changed nearly as much as overall reading minutes per capita has (even decline in book-reading seems possible, though of course greater leisure and wealth, larger quantity of cheaply and conveniently available books, etc. cut strongly the other way), and I bet the huge pile of written language over here has large effects on the much smaller (but older) pile of written language over there.
(How hard to understand was that sentence? Since that’s what this article is about, anyway, and I’m genuinely curious. I could easily have rewritten it into multiple sentences, but that didn’t appear to me to improve its comprehensibility.)
Edited to add: on review of the thread, you seem to have already made the same point about book-reading commanding attention because book-readers choose to read books, in fact to take it as ground truth. I’m not so confident in that (I’m not saying it’s false, I really don’t know), but the version of my argument that makes sense under that hypothesis would crux on books being an insufficiently distinct use of language to not be strongly influenced, either through [author preference and familiarity] or through [author’s guesses or beliefs about [reader preference and familiarity]], by other uses of language.
even decline in book-reading seems possible, though of course greater leisure and wealth, larger quantity of cheaply and conveniently available books, etc. cut strongly the other way
My focus on books is mainly from seeing statistics about the decline in book-reading over the years, at least in the US. Pulling up some statistics (without much double-checking) I see:
For 2023 the number of Americans who didn’t read a book within the past year seems to be up to 46%, although the source is different and the numbers may not be directly comparable:
That suggests to me that selection effects on who reads have gotten much stronger over the years.
How hard to understand was that sentence?
I do think it would have been better split into multiple sentences.
the version of my argument that makes sense under that hypothesis would crux on books being an insufficiently distinct use of language to not be strongly influenced...by other uses of language.
That could be; I haven’t seen statistics on reading in other media. My intuition is that many people find reading aversive and avoid it to the extent they can, and I think it’s gotten much more avoidable over the past decade.
I agree that the average reader is probably smarter in a general sense, but they also have FAR more things competing for their attention. Thus the amount of intelligence available for reading and understanding any given sentence, specifically, may be lower in the modern environment.
Interesting point. I’m not sure increased reader intelligence and greater competition for attention are fully countervailing forces—it seems true in some contexts (scrolling social media), but in others (in particular books) I expect that readers are still devoting substantial chunks of attention to reading.
That’s possible, but what does the population distribution of [how much of their time people spend reading books] look like? I bet it hasn’t changed nearly as much as overall reading minutes per capita has (even decline in book-reading seems possible, though of course greater leisure and wealth, larger quantity of cheaply and conveniently available books, etc. cut strongly the other way), and I bet the huge pile of written language over here has large effects on the much smaller (but older) pile of written language over there.
(How hard to understand was that sentence? Since that’s what this article is about, anyway, and I’m genuinely curious. I could easily have rewritten it into multiple sentences, but that didn’t appear to me to improve its comprehensibility.)
Edited to add: on review of the thread, you seem to have already made the same point about book-reading commanding attention because book-readers choose to read books, in fact to take it as ground truth. I’m not so confident in that (I’m not saying it’s false, I really don’t know), but the version of my argument that makes sense under that hypothesis would crux on books being an insufficiently distinct use of language to not be strongly influenced, either through [author preference and familiarity] or through [author’s guesses or beliefs about [reader preference and familiarity]], by other uses of language.
My focus on books is mainly from seeing statistics about the decline in book-reading over the years, at least in the US. Pulling up some statistics (without much double-checking) I see:
(from here.)
For 2023 the number of Americans who didn’t read a book within the past year seems to be up to 46%, although the source is different and the numbers may not be directly comparable:
(chart based on data from here.)
That suggests to me that selection effects on who reads have gotten much stronger over the years.
I do think it would have been better split into multiple sentences.
That could be; I haven’t seen statistics on reading in other media. My intuition is that many people find reading aversive and avoid it to the extent they can, and I think it’s gotten much more avoidable over the past decade.