The key assumption is that people care about the very long future, and care about it as much as people care about the near future, like in 10-30 years or more, and I don’t see much evidence for people caring about outcomes thousands of years into the future, let alone millions or billions or more years.
More generally, one of my central disagreements with people like Habryka is that I think humans have much higher intrinsic discount rates than 0%, and long-term moral views that view future people just as valuable as present people are way rarer than people on here think, and we are self-selected to have low discount rates.
The key assumption is that people care about the very long future, and care about it as much as people care about the near future, like in 10-30 years or more, and I don’t see much evidence for people caring about outcomes thousands of years into the future, let alone millions or billions or more years.
More generally, one of my central disagreements with people like Habryka is that I think humans have much higher intrinsic discount rates than 0%, and long-term moral views that view future people just as valuable as present people are way rarer than people on here think, and we are self-selected to have low discount rates.