Same as DirectedEvolution, my only background is reading inadequate equilibria and this article. Does someone, after reading this post, still think Eliezer was right about the Bank of Japan?
I do not. More accurately, I think he could be correct about the ground truth of his theory, but that he was incorrect to update as heavily as he seems to have, considering the evidence in favor is very weak.
Same as DirectedEvolution, my only background is reading inadequate equilibria and this article. Does someone, after reading this post, still think Eliezer was right about the Bank of Japan?
I do not. More accurately, I think he could be correct about the ground truth of his theory, but that he was incorrect to update as heavily as he seems to have, considering the evidence in favor is very weak.