I’m a bit late for a review, but I’ve recently been reflecting on decision theory and this post came to mind.
When I initially saw this post I didn’t make much of it. I now feel like the thesis of “decision theory is very confusing and messed up” is true, insightful, and pretty important based on spending more time engaging with particular problems (mostly related to acausal/simulation trade and other interactions). I don’t know if the specific examples in this post aged well, but I think the bottom line is worth keeping in mind.
I’m a bit late for a review, but I’ve recently been reflecting on decision theory and this post came to mind.
When I initially saw this post I didn’t make much of it. I now feel like the thesis of “decision theory is very confusing and messed up” is true, insightful, and pretty important based on spending more time engaging with particular problems (mostly related to acausal/simulation trade and other interactions). I don’t know if the specific examples in this post aged well, but I think the bottom line is worth keeping in mind.