I chose exactly the wrong D&D.Sci to decide to not try building a model on, and instead try to solve just by eyeballing simple scatterplots.
Despite coming in “last place” I’m pretty happy with my results!
I think this was a perfectly reasonable setup. Even more so given that without any straightforward scenarios people won’t think “what if it’s just straightforward though”.
I thought many times during eyeballing “look, probably no one else has tried to build a model using all combos of mins and maxes of stats as features, just do it” but I stuck to my guns. For, uh, reasons. Presumably.
My biggest mistake, as I see it, was failing to generalize from “I have several max-of-two-formulas and a Dragonslayer distribution that is obviously a mix of two which I can’t seem to resolve into something nice, probably all of them are max-of-two-formulas, let’s see if I can refactor things to look like that and get a better idea of what Dragonslayer’s two might look like if the rest do factor well”.