In the long run, we’re all dead: in decisions like retirement fund investments the game is short enough that Kelly takes too much risk of short-term losses and you should bet less than Kelly
Which is one of the justifications for pension funds and annuities: by having a much longer timespan than any one retiree, they can make larger Kelly bets, see larger returns on investment, with benefits to either the retirees they are paying or the larger economy. Hanson says that this implies that eventually the economy will be dominated by Kelly players.
Which is one of the justifications for pension funds and annuities: by having a much longer timespan than any one retiree, they can make larger Kelly bets, see larger returns on investment, with benefits to either the retirees they are paying or the larger economy. Hanson says that this implies that eventually the economy will be dominated by Kelly players.