I believe the items in the “other useful features” section above are unique from Metaculus. There are also lots of other small details. For one, all predictions are visible in Foretold (for people with access to the relevant community), while they are hidden in Metaculus. This could be either a good or bad thing depending on your workflow.
Metaculus has several different features that Foretold does not have. It has a pretty different scoring system. If you’re interested in the questions on Metaculus, in particular, then I probably suggest predicting and following them there. I think Metaculus is pretty impressive and the community is quite active.
I could detail all the specific differences, but that doesn’t feel right. Both are moving targets, and a breakdown by myself could be biased.
Instead it may help a bit (though this is much more abstract) to attempt to describe the higher-level product philosophies.
Metaculus is a bit like one optimized workflow for one large list of questions. New “clusters” are made by setting up different Metaculus instances, like, finance.metaculus.com.
I think Foretold is made with more experimentation of forecasting methods in mind; more exploration instead of exploitation. It’s very easy to create private clusters of questions through communities. One downside of the communities model is that it’s not well aimed to directing forecasters to one central set of valuable questions.
If you play around with both for a little while, the most of the differences should be obvious.
Foretold is also open source, which can be useful for some who may want to host or fork it.
I believe the items in the “other useful features” section above are unique from Metaculus. There are also lots of other small details. For one, all predictions are visible in Foretold (for people with access to the relevant community), while they are hidden in Metaculus. This could be either a good or bad thing depending on your workflow.
Metaculus has several different features that Foretold does not have. It has a pretty different scoring system. If you’re interested in the questions on Metaculus, in particular, then I probably suggest predicting and following them there. I think Metaculus is pretty impressive and the community is quite active.
I could detail all the specific differences, but that doesn’t feel right. Both are moving targets, and a breakdown by myself could be biased.
Instead it may help a bit (though this is much more abstract) to attempt to describe the higher-level product philosophies.
Metaculus is a bit like one optimized workflow for one large list of questions. New “clusters” are made by setting up different Metaculus instances, like, finance.metaculus.com.
I think Foretold is made with more experimentation of forecasting methods in mind; more exploration instead of exploitation. It’s very easy to create private clusters of questions through communities. One downside of the communities model is that it’s not well aimed to directing forecasters to one central set of valuable questions.
If you play around with both for a little while, the most of the differences should be obvious.
Foretold is also open source, which can be useful for some who may want to host or fork it.