For (2) I am less interested in betting than I was previously. Before, I assumed you meant that there would be actual, competent Humaniod robotic maids and butlers for sale in 2026. But now I’m imagining that you meant just any ordinary Humanoid robot on the market, even if doesn’t do what a real human maid or butler does.
Like, I think technically in 1990 companies could have already been selling “Humanoid robotic maids”, but they would’ve been functionally useless. Without some sort of constraint on what actually counts as a robotic maid, I think some random flashy-yet-useless robot that changed hands and made some company $300,000 in revenue might count for the purposes of this bet. And I would prefer not to take a bet with that as a potential outcome.
For (2) I am less interested in betting than I was previously. Before, I assumed you meant that there would be actual, competent Humaniod robotic maids and butlers for sale in 2026. But now I’m imagining that you meant just any ordinary Humanoid robot on the market, even if doesn’t do what a real human maid or butler does.
Like, I think technically in 1990 companies could have already been selling “Humanoid robotic maids”, but they would’ve been functionally useless. Without some sort of constraint on what actually counts as a robotic maid, I think some random flashy-yet-useless robot that changed hands and made some company $300,000 in revenue might count for the purposes of this bet. And I would prefer not to take a bet with that as a potential outcome.