History shows a variety of singular events. But it because they are singular, you can;t quantify their risk. So there is a contradiction between saying uFAI is a definite, known, risk, and saying it is an unprecedented singularity.)
What is meant by ‘known risk’ though? Do you mean ‘knowledge that AI is possible’, or ‘knowledge about what it will entail’? I agree with you completely that we have no information about the latter.
The latter.
History shows a variety of singular events. But it because they are singular, you can;t quantify their risk. So there is a contradiction between saying uFAI is a definite, known, risk, and saying it is an unprecedented singularity.)
What is meant by ‘known risk’ though? Do you mean ‘knowledge that AI is possible’, or ‘knowledge about what it will entail’? I agree with you completely that we have no information about the latter.
The latter.