You claim there are significant issues with the climate science process, but admit there are no journal articles criticizing the process. If you know enough to find faults with their science, why haven’t you yourself written an article on the matter?
For the same reason I haven’t personally solved every injustice: a) time constraints, and b) others are currently raising awareness of this problem.
Do you think there is something inherent in the culture of climatology science that introduces these anti-Bayesian biases? Why is climate science subject to this when other sciences are not?
Other sciences are affected by anti-Bayesian biases, and this will be a tendency in proportion to the difficulty of finding solid evidence that your theory is wrong. Which is why I claim e.g. sociology and literature are mostly a waste of time.
Generally speaking, science is in some ways too strict and some ways not strict enough. Eliezer_Yudkowsky has actually pointed out before the general failure to appropriately teach rationality in the classroom, and so scientists in general aren’t aware of this problem.
Politics, of course, does play a part. When it’s not just about “who’s right” but about “who gets to control resources”, then the biases go into hyperdrive. People aren’t just pointing out problems with your research, they’re fighting for the other team! The goal is then about proving them wrong, not stopping to check whether your theory is correct in the first place. (“Ask whether, not why.”)
For the same reason I haven’t personally solved every injustice: a) time constraints, and b) others are currently raising awareness of this problem.
Other sciences are affected by anti-Bayesian biases, and this will be a tendency in proportion to the difficulty of finding solid evidence that your theory is wrong. Which is why I claim e.g. sociology and literature are mostly a waste of time.
Generally speaking, science is in some ways too strict and some ways not strict enough. Eliezer_Yudkowsky has actually pointed out before the general failure to appropriately teach rationality in the classroom, and so scientists in general aren’t aware of this problem.
Politics, of course, does play a part. When it’s not just about “who’s right” but about “who gets to control resources”, then the biases go into hyperdrive. People aren’t just pointing out problems with your research, they’re fighting for the other team! The goal is then about proving them wrong, not stopping to check whether your theory is correct in the first place. (“Ask whether, not why.”)