who posts comments on twitter like “I’m shocked that people are angry about [highly decoupled statement] / [extremely norm-breaking behavior]” when it is completely obvious that most highly-coupling / norm-following people would be triggered by that.
Perhaps someone who didn’t read (the relevant part of) the Sequences?
Probability theory tells us that surprise is the measure of a poor hypothesis; if a model is consistently stupid—consistently hits on events the model assigns tiny probabilities—then it’s time to discard that model.
Perhaps someone who didn’t read (the relevant part of) the Sequences?