Minor correction to the “How Many Undiagnosed Cases” section (I think): the CDC calls the parameter they’re estimating “Mean ratio of estimated infections to reported case counts,” which seems to imply it’s the ratio [estimated actual cases (including reported ones)]:[reported cases]. They say their best guess is 11 with a range of (6,24), meaning that you’ve added 1 to all of these numbers. That would be correct if the CDC’s parameter was meant to be [estimated actual cases (not including reported ones)]:[reported cases], but that doesn’t seem to be the case here.
Minor correction to the “How Many Undiagnosed Cases” section (I think): the CDC calls the parameter they’re estimating “Mean ratio of estimated infections to reported case counts,” which seems to imply it’s the ratio [estimated actual cases (including reported ones)]:[reported cases]. They say their best guess is 11 with a range of (6,24), meaning that you’ve added 1 to all of these numbers. That would be correct if the CDC’s parameter was meant to be [estimated actual cases (not including reported ones)]:[reported cases], but that doesn’t seem to be the case here.