It is challenging to answer directly because the premise that there is either one or many is questionable. There are degrees of domination—and we already have things like the United Nations.
Also, this seems to be an area where civilisation will probably get what it wants—so its down to us to some extent—which makes this a difficult area to make predictions in. However, I do think a mostly-united future—with few revolutions and little fighting—is more likely than not. An extremely tightly-united future also seems quite plausible to me. Material like this seems to be an unconvincing reason for doubt.
Of course. I’m prioritising. I did already make five replies to your one comment—and the proposed shift of direction seemed to be quite a digression.
My existing material on the topic:
http://alife.co.uk/essays/one_big_organism/
http://alife.co.uk/essays/self_directed_evolution/
http://alife.co.uk/essays/the_second_superintelligence/
It is challenging to answer directly because the premise that there is either one or many is questionable. There are degrees of domination—and we already have things like the United Nations.
Also, this seems to be an area where civilisation will probably get what it wants—so its down to us to some extent—which makes this a difficult area to make predictions in. However, I do think a mostly-united future—with few revolutions and little fighting—is more likely than not. An extremely tightly-united future also seems quite plausible to me. Material like this seems to be an unconvincing reason for doubt.