Yeah, there’s definitely an “exploration / rigor” trade-off here (or maybe “speed / accuracy”) and I’m not sure it’s clear which side we are erring on right now. I’m not terribly surprised that LW favors rigor, just due to the general personality profile of the users here, and that my favoring of exploration at the cost of being wrong a few times is in the minority.
I definitely think a rational agent would be more exploratory than science currently is, but on the other hand we’ve got systematic biases to contend with and rigor might offset that.
Yeah, there’s definitely an “exploration / rigor” trade-off here (or maybe “speed / accuracy”) and I’m not sure it’s clear which side we are erring on right now. I’m not terribly surprised that LW favors rigor, just due to the general personality profile of the users here, and that my favoring of exploration at the cost of being wrong a few times is in the minority.
I definitely think a rational agent would be more exploratory than science currently is, but on the other hand we’ve got systematic biases to contend with and rigor might offset that.