Disagree-voted just because of the words “I’m certain that the reason...”. I’d be much less skeptical of “I’m pretty dang sure that the reason...” or at the very least “I’m certain that an important contributing factor was...”
(But even the latter seems pretty hard unless you have a lot of insider knowledge from talking to the people who made the decision at DeepMind, along with a lot of trust in them. E.g., if it did turn out that DeepMind was trying to reduce AI hype, then they might have advertised a result less if they thought it were a bigger deal. I don’t know this to be so, but it’s an example of why I raise an eyebrow at “I’m certain that the reason”.)
Disagree-voted just because of the words “I’m certain that the reason...”. I’d be much less skeptical of “I’m pretty dang sure that the reason...” or at the very least “I’m certain that an important contributing factor was...”
(But even the latter seems pretty hard unless you have a lot of insider knowledge from talking to the people who made the decision at DeepMind, along with a lot of trust in them. E.g., if it did turn out that DeepMind was trying to reduce AI hype, then they might have advertised a result less if they thought it were a bigger deal. I don’t know this to be so, but it’s an example of why I raise an eyebrow at “I’m certain that the reason”.)