Except for very simple quantum systems, I wouldn’t be able to tell you if uncertainty is in my mind or a consequence of physics.
The weather forecast for November 25 2014 is a 5% chance of rain. Will all future timelines have rain on that day, or is one years long enough to amplify quantum randomness to the scale of global weather patterns? Do you know? I don’t know; the physics to determine that is beyond me. Most humans can’t distinguish between the two cases when estimating.
All-or-nothing events feel riskier because they indicate a greater chance of catastrophe. A 5% chance of losing your house to a local fire is much better than a 5% chance of losing your house to a city-destroying conflagration. Life insurance claims come steadily; flood insurance claims do not.
Except for very simple quantum systems, I wouldn’t be able to tell you if uncertainty is in my mind or a consequence of physics.
The weather forecast for November 25 2014 is a 5% chance of rain. Will all future timelines have rain on that day, or is one years long enough to amplify quantum randomness to the scale of global weather patterns? Do you know? I don’t know; the physics to determine that is beyond me. Most humans can’t distinguish between the two cases when estimating.
All-or-nothing events feel riskier because they indicate a greater chance of catastrophe. A 5% chance of losing your house to a local fire is much better than a 5% chance of losing your house to a city-destroying conflagration. Life insurance claims come steadily; flood insurance claims do not.