If you think your opponent will take statistics out of context, then it makes sense to try to keep those statistics hidden.
Only if you apply the most naive first order considerations, which this article is about. I don’t expect much of antivaxxers, but if the average Less Wrong user can understand this, so should an organization chock full of the supposedly smartest and most capable medical scientists in the US, yet here we are.
I dunno, it’s not obviously the case, because I expect the average LWer to be more competent in this than the aggregate of an organization made up of the supposedly smartest and most capable medical scientists in the US. To be clear, not that individuals in that organization are stupider than the average LWer, but that the organization as a whole might not be nimble enough to thread the needle when it comes to this kind of policy-making.
Only if you apply the most naive first order considerations, which this article is about. I don’t expect much of antivaxxers, but if the average Less Wrong user can understand this, so should an organization chock full of the supposedly smartest and most capable medical scientists in the US, yet here we are.
I dunno, it’s not obviously the case, because I expect the average LWer to be more competent in this than the aggregate of an organization made up of the supposedly smartest and most capable medical scientists in the US. To be clear, not that individuals in that organization are stupider than the average LWer, but that the organization as a whole might not be nimble enough to thread the needle when it comes to this kind of policy-making.