Why don’t you go ahead and do that, for a paragraph or so, and I’ll see if I can complete the pattern for you and give you the kind of description you’re looking for. To me it just seems obvious what a choice is, in the same way that I know what “truth” is and what “good” is, but if you can manage to describe the meaning of “random” analytically then I can probably copy it for the word “chosen.” If I can’t, that will surprise me.
It’s obvious to you what “truth” is and what “goodness” is? Really? I think I can say clever and right things about these concepts because I’ve done a lot of studying and thinking. But the answers don’t seem obvious at all to me. Anyway, causality and randomness. Clearly huge topics about which lots have been said.
I believe a causal event is a kind of regularity, extended in spacetime, which has a variable that can be manipulated by hypothetical agent at one end to control a variable at the other end (usually the effect part is later in time). So by altering the velocity of an asteroid, the mean temperature of the planet Earth can be dramatically altered, for example. On a micro-level, intervening on a neuron and causing it to fire at a certain rate will lead to adjacent neurons firing. Altering the social mores of a society can cause a man not to return a wallet. For any one event to occur a large amount of variable have to be right and any one of those variable can be altered so as to alter the event, so these simple examples are overly simple. Lots more has been said if you’re interested. Pearl and Woodward are good authors.
Randomness might be more difficult since it isn’t obvious ontological randomness even exists. Epistemological randomness does: rolling a dice is a good example we have no way to predict the outcome. But in principle we could predict the outcome. Some interpretations of quantum mechanics do involve ontological randomness. Such events can be distinguished from causal events in that the valuable of the resulting variable cannot be controlled by any agent, not because no agent is powerful enough but because there are no variables which can be intervened on to alter the outcome in the way desired. There is no possibility of controlling such events. It is possible quantum indeterminacy is just the product of a hidden variable we don’t know about or that the apparent randomness is actually just a product of anthropics, every possible state gets observed and every outcome seems random because “you” only get to observe one and can’t communicate with the other “you’s”.
Have I waxed poetic about souls and destiny and homunculi? I don’t remember “inventing” a third kind of thing. I’m just sort of pointing at my experience of choice and labeling it “choice.” If you insist that what I think is choice is really something else, you’re welcome to prove it to me with direct evidence, but I’m not really interested in Bayesian inferences here.
I don’t have a problem with you pointing at an experience and labeling it “choice”. I do that too. You make choices. It’s just what it is to make a choice is one of these two things, a caused event or an uncaused event. You invent a third kind of thing when you come up with with a new kind of event which isn’t seen anywhere else, and declare it to be fundamental. And the way many philosophers have historically dealt with this exact problem is by positing souls and homunculi, “agent causation” and whatnot. When you decide that your experience of choice is a fundamental feature of the world you’re doing the exact same thing- any claim that something is irreducible is the same as a claim that something belongs in our basic ontology. The fact that you didn’t do this in verse just means I’m not annoyed, it’s still the same mistake.
I am unconvinced that brains and rocks are in the same reference class. I do not accept the physicalist-reductionist hypothesis as literally true, despite its excellent track record at producing useful models for predicting the future. I understand that the vast majority of people on this site -do- accept that hypothesis. I do not have the stamina or inclination to hold the field on that issue against an entire community of intelligent debaters.
I’ve been known to be more tolerant that others of unorthodoxy on this matter and I doubt many more would join in. Most people probably have the same arguments anyway. You’re not obligated to but I’d be interested in hearing your reasons for not accepting the hypothesis. However, my definition of truth is something like “the limit of useful modeling” so we might have to sort truth out a bit too. If you preface the discussion to demonstrate that you’re aware the position is unpopular already and you’re just trying to work this out you can probably avoid a karma hit. I’ll vote you up it it happens.
f you preface the discussion to demonstrate that you’re aware the position is unpopular already and you’re just trying to work this out you can probably avoid a karma hit.
Sure, consider it prefaced. I’m not trying to convince anybody; I’m just sharing my views because one or two users seem curious about them, and because I might learn something this way. It’s not very important to me. If anyone would like me to stop talking about this topic on Less Wrong, feel free to say so explicitly, and I will be glad to oblige you.
It’s obvious to you what “truth” is and what “goodness” is? Really?
I don’t mean that the entire contents, in detail, of what is and is not inside the box marked “true” is known to me. That would be ridiculous. I just mean that I know which box I’m talking about, and so do you. Sophisticated discussions about what “true” means (as opposed to discussion about whether some specific claim X is true) generally do more harm than good. You can tell cute stories about The Simple Truth, and that may help startle some philosophers into realizing where they’ve gone off-course, but mostly you’re just lending a little color to the Reflexive Property or the Identity Property: a = a.
Some interpretations of quantum mechanics do involve ontological randomness. Such events can be distinguished from causal events in that the valuable of the resulting variable cannot be controlled by any agent, not because no agent is powerful enough but because there are no variables which can be intervened on to alter the outcome in the way desired. There is no possibility of controlling such events.
I can probably work with this. I expect you will still think I’m postulating unnecessary ontological entities, and, given your epistemological value system, you’ll be right. Still, maybe the details will interest you.
Some interpretations of conscious awareness do involve ontological choice. Such events can be distinguished from random events in that the value of the resulting variable can be controlled by exactly one agent, as opposed to zero agents, as in the case of a truly random variable. The agent in question could be taken to be some subset of the neurons in the brain, or some subset of a person’s conscious awareness, or some kind of minimally intervening deity. It is not clear exactly who or what the agent is.
Conscious events can be distinguished from caused events in that conventional measures of kinetic power and information-theoretic power are bad predictors of a hypothetical agent’s ability to manipulate the outcome of a conscious event. Whether because the relevant interactions among neurons, given their level of chaotic complexity, occur in a slice of spacetime that is small enough to be resistant to external computation, or because the event is driven by some process outside the well-understood laws of physics, a conscious event is difficult or impossible to control from outside the relevant consciousness. Thus, instead of a single output depending subtly on many other variables, the output depends almost exclusively on a single input or small set of inputs.
You’re not obligated to but I’d be interested in hearing your reasons for not accepting the hypothesis.
I’d be happy to explain it in August, when I’ll be bored silly. At the moment, I’m pretty busy with my law school thesis, which is on antitrust law and has little to do with either free will or reductionism. Feel free to comment on any of my posts around that time, or to send your contact info to zelinsky a t gm ail dot com. Zelinsky is a rationalist friend of mine who agrees with you and only knows one person who thinks like me, so he’ll know who it’s for.
Thanks for bearing with me so far and for responding to arguments that must no doubt strike you as woefully unenlightened with a healthy measure of respect and patience. I really am done with both the free will discussion and the reductionist discussion for now, but I enjoyed discussing them with you, and consider it well worth the karma I ‘spent’. If you can think of any ways that what you see as my misunderstanding of free will or reductionism is likely to interfere with my attempts to help refine LW’s understanding of Goodhart’s Law, please let me know, and I’ll vote them up.
It’s obvious to you what “truth” is and what “goodness” is? Really? I think I can say clever and right things about these concepts because I’ve done a lot of studying and thinking. But the answers don’t seem obvious at all to me. Anyway, causality and randomness. Clearly huge topics about which lots have been said.
I believe a causal event is a kind of regularity, extended in spacetime, which has a variable that can be manipulated by hypothetical agent at one end to control a variable at the other end (usually the effect part is later in time). So by altering the velocity of an asteroid, the mean temperature of the planet Earth can be dramatically altered, for example. On a micro-level, intervening on a neuron and causing it to fire at a certain rate will lead to adjacent neurons firing. Altering the social mores of a society can cause a man not to return a wallet. For any one event to occur a large amount of variable have to be right and any one of those variable can be altered so as to alter the event, so these simple examples are overly simple. Lots more has been said if you’re interested. Pearl and Woodward are good authors.
Randomness might be more difficult since it isn’t obvious ontological randomness even exists. Epistemological randomness does: rolling a dice is a good example we have no way to predict the outcome. But in principle we could predict the outcome. Some interpretations of quantum mechanics do involve ontological randomness. Such events can be distinguished from causal events in that the valuable of the resulting variable cannot be controlled by any agent, not because no agent is powerful enough but because there are no variables which can be intervened on to alter the outcome in the way desired. There is no possibility of controlling such events. It is possible quantum indeterminacy is just the product of a hidden variable we don’t know about or that the apparent randomness is actually just a product of anthropics, every possible state gets observed and every outcome seems random because “you” only get to observe one and can’t communicate with the other “you’s”.
I don’t have a problem with you pointing at an experience and labeling it “choice”. I do that too. You make choices. It’s just what it is to make a choice is one of these two things, a caused event or an uncaused event. You invent a third kind of thing when you come up with with a new kind of event which isn’t seen anywhere else, and declare it to be fundamental. And the way many philosophers have historically dealt with this exact problem is by positing souls and homunculi, “agent causation” and whatnot. When you decide that your experience of choice is a fundamental feature of the world you’re doing the exact same thing- any claim that something is irreducible is the same as a claim that something belongs in our basic ontology. The fact that you didn’t do this in verse just means I’m not annoyed, it’s still the same mistake.
I’ve been known to be more tolerant that others of unorthodoxy on this matter and I doubt many more would join in. Most people probably have the same arguments anyway. You’re not obligated to but I’d be interested in hearing your reasons for not accepting the hypothesis. However, my definition of truth is something like “the limit of useful modeling” so we might have to sort truth out a bit too. If you preface the discussion to demonstrate that you’re aware the position is unpopular already and you’re just trying to work this out you can probably avoid a karma hit. I’ll vote you up it it happens.
Sure, consider it prefaced. I’m not trying to convince anybody; I’m just sharing my views because one or two users seem curious about them, and because I might learn something this way. It’s not very important to me. If anyone would like me to stop talking about this topic on Less Wrong, feel free to say so explicitly, and I will be glad to oblige you.
I don’t mean that the entire contents, in detail, of what is and is not inside the box marked “true” is known to me. That would be ridiculous. I just mean that I know which box I’m talking about, and so do you. Sophisticated discussions about what “true” means (as opposed to discussion about whether some specific claim X is true) generally do more harm than good. You can tell cute stories about The Simple Truth, and that may help startle some philosophers into realizing where they’ve gone off-course, but mostly you’re just lending a little color to the Reflexive Property or the Identity Property: a = a.
I can probably work with this. I expect you will still think I’m postulating unnecessary ontological entities, and, given your epistemological value system, you’ll be right. Still, maybe the details will interest you.
Some interpretations of conscious awareness do involve ontological choice. Such events can be distinguished from random events in that the value of the resulting variable can be controlled by exactly one agent, as opposed to zero agents, as in the case of a truly random variable. The agent in question could be taken to be some subset of the neurons in the brain, or some subset of a person’s conscious awareness, or some kind of minimally intervening deity. It is not clear exactly who or what the agent is.
Conscious events can be distinguished from caused events in that conventional measures of kinetic power and information-theoretic power are bad predictors of a hypothetical agent’s ability to manipulate the outcome of a conscious event. Whether because the relevant interactions among neurons, given their level of chaotic complexity, occur in a slice of spacetime that is small enough to be resistant to external computation, or because the event is driven by some process outside the well-understood laws of physics, a conscious event is difficult or impossible to control from outside the relevant consciousness. Thus, instead of a single output depending subtly on many other variables, the output depends almost exclusively on a single input or small set of inputs.
I’d be happy to explain it in August, when I’ll be bored silly. At the moment, I’m pretty busy with my law school thesis, which is on antitrust law and has little to do with either free will or reductionism. Feel free to comment on any of my posts around that time, or to send your contact info to zelinsky a t gm ail dot com. Zelinsky is a rationalist friend of mine who agrees with you and only knows one person who thinks like me, so he’ll know who it’s for.
Thanks for bearing with me so far and for responding to arguments that must no doubt strike you as woefully unenlightened with a healthy measure of respect and patience. I really am done with both the free will discussion and the reductionist discussion for now, but I enjoyed discussing them with you, and consider it well worth the karma I ‘spent’. If you can think of any ways that what you see as my misunderstanding of free will or reductionism is likely to interfere with my attempts to help refine LW’s understanding of Goodhart’s Law, please let me know, and I’ll vote them up.