Can you clarify the meaning of the sentence, “late polls had given H Clinton a win probability over 80%”?
Polls don’t give win probabilities, they give a sample of people’s opinions, from an average of which you can perhaps derive a win probability in conjunction with a statistical model such as FiveThirtyEight’s (which gave Clinton a 71.4% chance on Election Day).
Can you clarify the meaning of the sentence, “late polls had given H Clinton a win probability over 80%”?
Polls don’t give win probabilities, they give a sample of people’s opinions, from an average of which you can perhaps derive a win probability in conjunction with a statistical model such as FiveThirtyEight’s (which gave Clinton a 71.4% chance on Election Day).