“10x engineers” are a thing, and if we assume they’re high-agency people always looking to streamline and improve their workflows, we should expect them to be precisely the people who get a further 10x boost from LLMs. Have you observed any specific people suddenly becoming 10x more prolific?
In addition to the objection from Archimedes, another reason this is unlikely to be true is that 10x coders are often much more productive than other engineers because they’ve heavily optimized around solving for specific problems or skills that other engineers are bottlenecked by, and most of those optimizations don’t readily admit of having an LLM suddenly inserted into the loop.
In addition to the objection from Archimedes, another reason this is unlikely to be true is that 10x coders are often much more productive than other engineers because they’ve heavily optimized around solving for specific problems or skills that other engineers are bottlenecked by, and most of those optimizations don’t readily admit of having an LLM suddenly inserted into the loop.