I’ll offer a few cents which is probably what my input is literally worth as a layman, but I’m now able to build full-stack apps, soup to nuts, as someone who’s entire coding experience to date was a helloworld in a python tutorial when I was a child.
Cursor/Claude et al can now one shot entire single purpose apps, and errors seem to be on a downward trend. The N hours lost untangling code don’t take into account the time saved in construction; but keeping that in mind how much time is spent in debug?
What’s the saying? 50% of time spent in programming is coding and the 90% is debugging? I know that’s a joke but now you’ve largely wiped out that 50% and that 90% is chopped in half and is getting lower. Therein lies my point.
There’s no evidence of massive 5-10x advancements right now, but that’s because of temporary roadblocks that will be iterated out in time. And we aren’t talking decades of development any more. What’s going to happen when no-code apps can churn out scads of clean, seamless structured code? No bugs? What then?
Honestly, what you claim doesn’t make any sense. If you are non-engineer and you can just one-shot entire single purpose apps just like that.
Then it should be observable in the real world, right? Since billions of people get access to one-shotting entire single purpose apps. Let’s say, we have 50 000 of people who do that actually, I’m downplaying the numbers, because actually, there are millions of people trying to do so. But let’s say it’s just measly 50 000. Don’t you think that we would get a flood of simple but useful single purpose apps every couple of months?
Since you are a layman, I want to explain something. Simple single purpose apps, are the best and one of the most in-demand kinds of apps on the market.
For example, you’ll be surprised how EASY is to create a messenger really, it’s so primitive, it’s possible to get basics for it it working in just the weekends. If I were to stream it on Twitch, I’m more than sure I can create a simple messenger in a single stream, with login, texting and sending images functionality. And I’ll have enough time to deploy it even.
But sadly, we don’t observe this in the real world, this can indicate a couple of things:
1. You may be overstating what you can actually achieve as a layman with Cursor. 2. Those simple single purpose apps are completely useless demos that aren’t worth using at all.
To add to this, I’m a forecaster on metaculus and I can now do dozens if not hundred of poisson/monte carlo/ets simulations every hour when before I often needed the hour to do two or three because I had to do small tweaks that took me quite some time before and that I now delegate to AI. I learned python a year ago but clearly I’m a newbie, it has changed my capabilities significantly.
I’ll offer a few cents which is probably what my input is literally worth as a layman, but I’m now able to build full-stack apps, soup to nuts, as someone who’s entire coding experience to date was a helloworld in a python tutorial when I was a child.
Cursor/Claude et al can now one shot entire single purpose apps, and errors seem to be on a downward trend. The N hours lost untangling code don’t take into account the time saved in construction; but keeping that in mind how much time is spent in debug?
What’s the saying? 50% of time spent in programming is coding and the 90% is debugging? I know that’s a joke but now you’ve largely wiped out that 50% and that 90% is chopped in half and is getting lower. Therein lies my point.
There’s no evidence of massive 5-10x advancements right now, but that’s because of temporary roadblocks that will be iterated out in time. And we aren’t talking decades of development any more. What’s going to happen when no-code apps can churn out scads of clean, seamless structured code? No bugs? What then?
Honestly, what you claim doesn’t make any sense. If you are non-engineer and you can just one-shot entire single purpose apps just like that.
Then it should be observable in the real world, right? Since billions of people get access to one-shotting entire single purpose apps. Let’s say, we have 50 000 of people who do that actually, I’m downplaying the numbers, because actually, there are millions of people trying to do so. But let’s say it’s just measly 50 000. Don’t you think that we would get a flood of simple but useful single purpose apps every couple of months?
Since you are a layman, I want to explain something. Simple single purpose apps, are the best and one of the most in-demand kinds of apps on the market.
For example, you’ll be surprised how EASY is to create a messenger really, it’s so primitive, it’s possible to get basics for it it working in just the weekends. If I were to stream it on Twitch, I’m more than sure I can create a simple messenger in a single stream, with login, texting and sending images functionality. And I’ll have enough time to deploy it even.
But sadly, we don’t observe this in the real world, this can indicate a couple of things:
1. You may be overstating what you can actually achieve as a layman with Cursor.
2. Those simple single purpose apps are completely useless demos that aren’t worth using at all.
To add to this, I’m a forecaster on metaculus and I can now do dozens if not hundred of poisson/monte carlo/ets simulations every hour when before I often needed the hour to do two or three because I had to do small tweaks that took me quite some time before and that I now delegate to AI. I learned python a year ago but clearly I’m a newbie, it has changed my capabilities significantly.