Bella: “I made a bet on this coin flip. If it comes up heads, I’m going to use the money to go out for dinner! Hrm, where would I want to eat if I win. . .”
Carl: “How do you know for certain it will come up heads? If you don’t, it seems like an incoherent thing to even discuss.”
Bella: “I’m not certain it will happen. It would be a bad idea to put too much weight or too many assumptions on something with only a 50% probability. But things can be both uncertain to happen and also coherent enough to talk about.”
Bella: “I made a bet on this coin flip. If it comes up heads, I’m going to use the money to go out for dinner! Hrm, where would I want to eat if I win. . .”
Carl: “How do you know for certain it will come up heads? If you don’t, it seems like an incoherent thing to even discuss.”
Bella: “I’m not certain it will happen. It would be a bad idea to put too much weight or too many assumptions on something with only a 50% probability. But things can be both uncertain to happen and also coherent enough to talk about.”