Being in the matrix and not being in it each have a prior probability of 50%.
Our world is equally likely both in the matrix and out.
I vehemently disagree with this one. For one, we have never been told that we’re in the matrix. This would most likely happen if we are in the matrix, and almost definitely not happen if we are not. Also, some people live lives much worse than to be expected in a world with a remotely benevolent behavior. There is no reason for so many people to suffer. It’s possible that I’m wrong about that, in which case the problem is that there is no reason for so many other people not to suffer.
His argument is based on two things:
Being in the matrix and not being in it each have a prior probability of 50%.
Our world is equally likely both in the matrix and out.
I vehemently disagree with this one. For one, we have never been told that we’re in the matrix. This would most likely happen if we are in the matrix, and almost definitely not happen if we are not. Also, some people live lives much worse than to be expected in a world with a remotely benevolent behavior. There is no reason for so many people to suffer. It’s possible that I’m wrong about that, in which case the problem is that there is no reason for so many other people not to suffer.
There’s no reason to expect the Machines to care about human suffering.
Also I don’t see why creating a simulation requires that you start flashing messages at its inhabitants.