The use may be somewhat idiosyncratic, but the point stands. Bayes’ rule is correct, provable from basic axioms of probability.
The “naive” scientific method (advocated in the clip) doesn’t account for probabilistic evidence. Even the slightly more sophisticated “statistical significance”/hypothesis testing method doesn’t do it right.
The use may be somewhat idiosyncratic, but the point stands. Bayes’ rule is correct, provable from basic axioms of probability.
The “naive” scientific method (advocated in the clip) doesn’t account for probabilistic evidence. Even the slightly more sophisticated “statistical significance”/hypothesis testing method doesn’t do it right.