I use my the prhase “I’ve updated” even when not having a number in my head. When I do say it, it’s motly a signal to myself to notice my feeling of how strongly I belive something and deliberatly push that feeling a bit to one side or another, especially when the evindence is week and should not change my mind very much.
I belive the human brain is acctually pretty good at aproximating basian updating, if one pays attention to facts in the right way. Part of this practice, for me, is to sometimes state out lound that I’ve encountered evidence that should influence my belifs, especially in cases where I’m in risk of confirmation bias.
I use my the prhase “I’ve updated” even when not having a number in my head. When I do say it, it’s motly a signal to myself to notice my feeling of how strongly I belive something and deliberatly push that feeling a bit to one side or another, especially when the evindence is week and should not change my mind very much.
I belive the human brain is acctually pretty good at aproximating basian updating, if one pays attention to facts in the right way. Part of this practice, for me, is to sometimes state out lound that I’ve encountered evidence that should influence my belifs, especially in cases where I’m in risk of confirmation bias.