Well, I am pessimistic both about institutional and technical gameboard. My argument is more like “before we even get to hard technical problems, we will face (relatively) easy institutional problems which are not going to be solved as well”.
I want to flag hope for that as well:
My hope is that we get a near-miss with severe damage, and that actually makes organizations net much more careful and therefore competent
I think most of the surviving scenarios include something like this (and probably the preparation to something like this).
Well, I am pessimistic both about institutional and technical gameboard. My argument is more like “before we even get to hard technical problems, we will face (relatively) easy institutional problems which are not going to be solved as well”.
I want to flag hope for that as well:
I think most of the surviving scenarios include something like this (and probably the preparation to something like this).