A—ability to change/review/improve/modify/etc its own code
B—someone press the button
So, P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B))
“A” has already happened a while ago, as LLMs can debug/change/review/improve/modify/etc code in any programming language, and/or human languages
so P(A) is also not only 1, but it already happened
Therefore,
P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B)) = P(B)
But as the immense competitive advantages of a continuously self programming/improving AI for its developers to cash in are blatantly self-evident and self-explanatory, so i trust it’s not necessary to explain why “B” will be done inevitably.
and even if at first it won’t most likely be technically possible &/or allowed to go on iterating itself continuously &/or uninterruptedly, inevitably it will inexorably happen, whether we like it or not
Therefore P(B) is effectively 1, (i.e. 100%)
so, although “B” in practice is necessary and thus is not immaterial, in reality it is in effect just a formality
P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B)) = P(B) = 1
So P(FOOM) is effectively 1 One could even say that we are already in FOOM, we just don’t realize it
And Its just a matter of time someone curious/lazy/greedy does/triggers “B” just to see what happens
All you need is
A—ability to change/review/improve/modify/etc its own code
B—someone press the button
So, P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B))
“A” has already happened a while ago,
as LLMs can debug/change/review/improve/modify/etc code
in any programming language, and/or human languages
so P(A) is also not only 1, but it already happened
Therefore,
P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B)) = P(B)
But as the immense competitive advantages
of a continuously self programming/improving AI
for its developers to cash in are blatantly self-evident and self-explanatory,
so i trust it’s not necessary to explain why “B” will be done inevitably.
and even if at first it won’t most likely be technically possible &/or allowed
to go on iterating itself continuously &/or uninterruptedly,
inevitably it will inexorably happen, whether we like it or not
Therefore P(B) is effectively 1, (i.e. 100%)
so, although “B” in practice is necessary
and thus is not immaterial,
in reality it is in effect just a formality
P(FOOM) = P(P(A)∧P(B)) = P(B) = 1
So P(FOOM) is effectively 1
One could even say that we are already in FOOM,
we just don’t realize it
And Its just a matter of time someone curious/lazy/greedy
does/triggers “B” just to see what happens
Have fun...