Do you have any actual reason (introspection doesn’t count) to “expect LWers to be the kind of high-NFC/TIE people who try to weigh evidence in a two-sided way before deciding”? [...] I’m requesting the raw original basis for the assumption.
LWers self-report having above-average IQs. (One can argue that those numbers are too high, as I’ve done, but those are just arguments about degree.) People with more cognitive firepower to direct at problems are presumably going to do so more often.
LWers self-report above-average AQs. (Again, one might argue those AQs are exaggerated, but the sign of the effect is surely right given LW’s nerdy bent.) This is evidence in favour of LWers being people who tend to automatically apply a fine-grained (if not outright pedantic) and systematic thinking style when confronted with a new person or organization to think about.
Two linked observations. One: a fallacy/heuristic that analytical people often lean on is treating reversed stupidity as intelligence. Two: the political stupidity that an analytical person is likely to find most salient is the stupidity coming from people with firmly held, off-centre political views. Bringing the two together: even before discovering LW, LWers are the kind of analytical types who’d apply the reversed stupidity heuristic to politics, and infer from it that the way to avoid political stupidity is to postpone judgement by trying to look at Both Sides before committing to a political position.
Every time Eliezer writes a new chapter of his HPMoR fanfic, LW’s Discussion section explodes in a frenzy of speculation and attempts to integrate disparate blobs of evidence into predictions about what’s going to happen next, with a zeal most uninterested outside observers might find hard to understand. In line with nerd stereotype, LWers can’t even read a Harry Potter story without itching to poke holes in it.
(Have to dash out of the house now but I’ll comment on the rest soon.)
LWers self-report having above-average IQs. (One can argue that those numbers are too high, as I’ve done, but those are just arguments about degree.) People with more cognitive firepower to direct at problems are presumably going to do so more often.
LWers self-report above-average AQs. (Again, one might argue those AQs are exaggerated, but the sign of the effect is surely right given LW’s nerdy bent.) This is evidence in favour of LWers being people who tend to automatically apply a fine-grained (if not outright pedantic) and systematic thinking style when confronted with a new person or organization to think about.
Two linked observations. One: a fallacy/heuristic that analytical people often lean on is treating reversed stupidity as intelligence. Two: the political stupidity that an analytical person is likely to find most salient is the stupidity coming from people with firmly held, off-centre political views. Bringing the two together: even before discovering LW, LWers are the kind of analytical types who’d apply the reversed stupidity heuristic to politics, and infer from it that the way to avoid political stupidity is to postpone judgement by trying to look at Both Sides before committing to a political position.
Every time Eliezer writes a new chapter of his HPMoR fanfic, LW’s Discussion section explodes in a frenzy of speculation and attempts to integrate disparate blobs of evidence into predictions about what’s going to happen next, with a zeal most uninterested outside observers might find hard to understand. In line with nerd stereotype, LWers can’t even read a Harry Potter story without itching to poke holes in it.
(Have to dash out of the house now but I’ll comment on the rest soon.)