For many of the things he writes about, we can take his clout and background as evidence that his insight is ‘real’.
But that’s at most very weak evidence that his insight is real. Much of success is luck and networking, for example, and successful people are notoriously bad at disentangling various causes of their success properly, in favor of giving themselves more of the credit than warranted.
successful people are notoriously bad at disentangling various causes of their success properly, in favor of giving themselves more of the credit than warranted.
That’s not clear to me. It is common to hear successful people saying things along the lines of “I wouldn’t be here if it weren’t for X, Y, and Z”. In particular, I’m thinking of Linus Torvalds, whom I remember denying most of the credit for creating Linux. I’m sure there are many other examples. Overall, it’s hard to tell weather successful people in general overestimate or underestimate how much credit they deserve.
But that’s at most very weak evidence that his insight is real. Much of success is luck and networking, for example, and successful people are notoriously bad at disentangling various causes of their success properly, in favor of giving themselves more of the credit than warranted.
That’s not clear to me. It is common to hear successful people saying things along the lines of “I wouldn’t be here if it weren’t for X, Y, and Z”. In particular, I’m thinking of Linus Torvalds, whom I remember denying most of the credit for creating Linux. I’m sure there are many other examples. Overall, it’s hard to tell weather successful people in general overestimate or underestimate how much credit they deserve.